Why President Kibaki’s departure next year will be like a happy divorce

What you need to know:

  • Kibaki is, therefore, like a man who is leaving a marriage without children, and in which the couple didn’t own any substantial property jointly. Such separations or divorces are usually not messy, because there are no bitter custody fights over the children and who should keep the house.
  • Not so in Tanzania, where the long-ruling Chama Mapinduzi (CCM — or Party of Revolution) fully expects not only to provide the next President when Kikwete leaves, but also to retain control of Parliament.
  • In Uganda, there is furious jostling for position in the Museveni succession. The signs are that Museveni is planning to take a seventh bite at the presidential apple in 2016 (he will be going for a seventh term, two of them unelected).

President Kibaki is stepping down in March next year after serving his two terms.

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