Is Mutahi Ngunyi the Oracle of Kenyan politics?

What you need to know:

  • It is difficult to make predictions many years away because of too much variation in what might happen in the period.
  • Mr Mutahi Ngunyi made predictions years ahead that came to pass. In 2003, he predicted the Narc party will plunge the country in civil strife in the next General Election.
  • One of the weaknesses of Prof Makau Mutua is that he makes too many predictions.

Power struggles in Middle Earth, a fictional realm in the book Lord of the Rings, by South African born John Ronald Reuel Tolkien, brought forth the use of a potent device, the palantir − a smooth dark spherical seeing stone that provided foresight into the future. 

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