Raila’s options after losing the race for AU job

The dust has settled on the African Union (AU) Commission elections, with Djibouti’s Foreign Minister Mahmoud Ali Youssouf emerging as the new chairperson. For Kenya’s Raila Odinga, the loss marks the end of a high-stakes bid that many had hoped would cap off his decades-long career in public service. Now, attention shifts to what comes next for the veteran politician, whose influence in Kenya remains as strong as ever.

At 80, Mr Odinga is no stranger to political setbacks, nor is he one to fade quietly into the background. His bid for the AU’s top job was widely seen as an opportunity for him to transition from local politics to a continental leadership role.

However, with that door now closed, many are wondering whether he will remain an active force in Kenyan politics or take on a new role in shaping the country’s future from behind the scenes. Mr Odinga’s recent collaboration with President William Ruto’s administration has been one of the most significant political realignments in Kenya’s history.

Bipartisan talks

Once bitter rivals, the two leaders have found common ground in bipartisan talks aimed at addressing governance and economic challenges. This shift has been met with mixed reactions—some see it as a strategic move that positions Mr Odinga as a statesman above party politics, while others view it as a departure from his legacy as a steadfast opposition figure.

The AU election loss presents an opportunity for Mr Odinga to reassess his role in Kenya’s political landscape. He remains a key player, and his next move could determine the future of the opposition, the direction of governance reforms, and even the 2027 elections.

First, he could take on the role of a political mentor, guiding a new generation of leaders within his party, the Orange Democratic Movement, and the broader opposition. By nurturing young politicians, he can ensure continuity in his vision for democracy, economic empowerment and institutional reform.

Secondly, he could use his experience to champion key governance reforms. Over the years, he has been at the forefront of constitutional changes and electoral justice. Another area where Mr Odinga could make an impact is in promoting national unity. Kenya’s political history is deeply intertwined with ethnic and regional divisions. Having positioned himself as a unifying figure in past elections, he can now lead efforts to bridge these divides, fostering dialogue and reconciliation at a national level.

Finally, Mr Odinga could shift his focus to policy research and advisory roles. Establishing or working with think-tanks focused on governance, economic policy and development could allow him to shape the country’s future in a different but equally impactful way. Mr Odinga has built a political career defined by resilience, reform and a relentless pursuit of justice. 

The AU election loss does not diminish his stature; rather, it offers him an opportunity to redefine his role in Kenya’s future. Whether he chooses to remain in active politics, take on an advisory role or dedicate his time to policy and governance initiatives, his presence will continue to shape Kenya’s political discourse.

Mr Okango is a political strategist and expert in leadership and governance. [email protected]