cyril ramaphosa
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South Africa’s ANC faces a nightmare possibility; a coalition with Julius Malema’s EFF

South African President Cyril Ramaphosa looks on as he addresses new members of the African National Congress (ANC) during an election campaign ahead of the 2024 general elections, at the Nelson Mandela Community Youth Centre in Chatsworth township, north of Durban, on May 14, 2023. 

Photo credit: Rajesh Jantilal | AFP

What you need to know:

  • The signs have been on the wall. At the local government elections of 2021, ANC’s support fell below 50 percent of the total vote.
  • In a recent study, only 39 percent of likely voters said they were willing to give the ANC another chance.
  • Expected to grow to around the mid-teens, perhaps 15 to 16 percent, in the next elections, Malema’s EFF gives a much-weakened ANC a singular possible ally that could save it from being tossed aside after decades in power, as has happened to so many African liberation movements elsewhere.